The latest opinion poll, the NOIPolls said in a statement published on its website, involved telephone interviews of a proportionate nationwide sample of 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above.
By Jeffrey Agbo
NOIPolls has announced that a new public opinion poll it conducted revealed that 74 per cent (about 7 in 10 ) of adult Nigerians interviewed disclosed that they are not registered members of any political party in the country.
The poll, which cuts across gender, geographical locations, and age-group, was conducted in the week commencing August 15, 2022, and it is the second in the series of the monthly election polls conducted by NOIPolls as Nigerians count down to the general elections in 2023.
The first such poll in the election series – Citizen’s Trust in Electoral Integrity, was conducted in July 2022. The NOIPolls was founded by the Director-General of the World Trade Organisation, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.
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The latest opinion poll, the NOIPolls said in a statement published on its website, involved telephone interviews of a proportionate nationwide sample of 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical regions and 36 states and the FCT of the country. Interviews were conducted in 5 languages – Igbo, Hausa, Yoruba, Pidgin English, and English.
According to NOIPolls, 20 per cent of adult Nigerians admitted that they are registered members of different political parties, and have membership cards whereas, 6 per cent are registered members but do not have a membership card.
The poll organisers said, “Furthermore, finding revealed that the All-Progressive Congress (APC) has the larger share (41 per cent) of respondents who are registered members. In addition, 34 per cent of the respondents stated that they are registered members of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), while 10 per cent are registered with Labour Party (LP) ahead of the 2023 general elections.
“Also, 10 per cent of the respondents preferred not to disclose their party affiliations. Finally, of the 89 per cent of adult Nigerians who claimed that they are registered to vote in the upcoming 2023 general elections, 95 per cent acknowledged that they are looking forward to voting in the 2023 general elections.”
The NOIPolls said, “The first question revealed that an overwhelming majority of adult Nigerians nationwide (89 percent) claimed that they have registered to vote in the upcoming 2023 general elections. This assertion cuts across gender, geo-political zones, and age-group with at least 83 percent representation. On the contrary, 11 percent stated otherwise.
“The poll findings further revealed that 95 percent of those who claimed to have registered to vote expressed their enthusiasm in voting during the 2023 general elections. This view also cuts across gender, geographical locations, and age-group with a minimum of 92 percent representation. However, 5 percent of said they are not looking forward to vote in the 2023 general elections.
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“Furthermore, to gain insight on the proportion of adult Nigerians who are registered members of political parties, respondents were asked: Are you currently a registered member of any political party? The results revealed that a huge proportion of adult Nigerians are not registered to any political party in the country. Analysis by gender shows there are more female (82 percent) than male (66 percent) respondents who mentioned that they are not registered to any political party in the country.
“On the flip side, 20 percent of adult Nigerians admitted that they are registered members of different political parties, and have membership cards, although 6 percent claim they are registered members but do not have membership cards.
“Subsequently, respondents who claimed to be registered members were further probed to ascertain the political party they represent. The finding revealed that the All-Progressive Congress (APC) has the larger share (41 percent) of respondents who are registered members regardless of those who own a membership card. Analysis by region indicates that APC has more registered members form the northern region (50 percent) than in the southern region (26 percent).”
The NOIPolls added, “More findings revealed that 34 percent of the respondents stated that they are registered members of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), while 10 percent are registered with Labour Party (LP) ahead of the 2023 general elections. Analysis by region also revealed that both the PDP and LP have more registered members from the southern region with 44 percent and 18 percent respectively.
“In the same vein, respondents who are not registered were further probed to know the political party they are likely to register with. The poll result revealed that the PDP (13 percent) and LP (13 percent) both have the same proportion of respondents who are likely to register with them, while 8 percent mentioned APC, 2 percent stated NNPP.
“Further analysis showed that 41 percent of the respondents refused to disclose the political party they would register with, while 13 percent stated that they are not willing to register with any political party in the country.”
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