By Ishaya Ibrahim
Acting News Editor
The world may not know the real population of Nigeria in 2018.
The federal government did not make provision for the National Population Commission (NPC) to carry out the exercise in the 2017 Appropriation signed into law by then Acting President Yemi Osinbajo.
According to a schedule of activities for the 2018 head count, the NPC was to commence pre-census activities this year, which would gulp N33 billion for Enumeration Area Demarcation (EAD), purchase of technological devices (Data Capture Android) and other critical equipment.
The overall expenditure for the exercise is N272 billion.
Despite the time lag in putting logistics together for the 2018 head count, the NPC only got N5.6 billion in this year’s budget, just enough for its overhead costs.
Initial optimism
NPC Director of Public Affairs, Muhammad Isah, told The Guardian in May that all plans had been concluded to conduct the census once funds were released.
“As soon as we get funds to go ahead with activities lined up, we will mobilise (enumerators) to the other local councils and see what we can do before the year runs out,” Isah said.
Dogara warns against census now
Besides, the Speaker of House of Representatives, Yakubu Dogara, had spoken against the 2018 census on the grounds that it might be marred by political interests ahead the 2019 general elections.
“If you conduct census at the time of elections, there will be so much pressure, crisis and the lure for people to manipulate the figures for political reasons, such that the agency cannot even cope with,” Dogara warned.
VIA canvasses for it
But constitutional lawyer and President of Voters Awareness Initiative (VAI), Wale Ogunade, disagreed that census figures could serve the interest of election manipulators.
“The era of imaginary voters are gone with the introduction of the card reader. So, the issue of population is not a factor in rigging election anymore because every voter will be accredited physically,” Ogunade argued.
He advised the government to make a supplementary budget for the NPC to conduct the census next year because the figures would aid planning and effective governance.
APC at advantage
Analysts said the current population assumption of Nigeria puts the All Progressives Congress (APC) at advantage.
Kano State is an APC stronghold and was ranked the most populous in Nigeria in the 2006 census.
President Muhammadu Buhari got 1.9 million votes in Kano, more than all the votes Lagos State recorded in the same election for all the candidates. Yet, Lagos has more registered voters than Kano.
Kano voters are 4.9 million while Lagos has 5.8 million.
NPC won’t talk on phone
NPC Director General, Eze Duruiheoma, declined to answer when TheNiche asked him through text message whether the census would still hold in 2018 given that no provision was made for it in the budget.
His reply was: “Come to the office.”
