Why Census may not hold by 2018

NPC DG Eze Duruiheoma

By Ishaya Ibrahim
Acting News Editor
 
Any hope that the National Population Commission (NPC) would conduct the 2018 census is gone. The federal government did no make provision for it in the 2017 Appropriation which has just been signed into law by Acting President Yemi Osinbajo.
 
According to a schedule of activities for the 2018 head count, the NPC was to commence pre-census activities this year which would gulp N33 billion for Enumeration Area Demarcation (EAD), purchase of technological devices (Data Capture Android) and other critical equipment. The overall expenditure for the exercise is N272 billion.
 
Despite the time lag in putting logistics together for the 2018 head count, the NPC only got N5.6 billion in this years budget, just enough for its overhead cost.
 
Muhammad Isah, director of public affairs at the NPC had told The Guardian in May that all plans have been concluded to conduct the census once funds were released.
 
As soon as we get funds to go ahead with activities lined up, we will mobilise (enumerators) to the other local councils and see what we can do before the year runs out,Isah said.
 
Earlier, Speaker Yakubu Dogara had spoken against the 2018 census on the ground that it might be marred by political interests ahead of the 2019 general elections.
 
If you conduct census at the time of elections, there will be so much pressure, crisis and the lure for people to manipulate the figures for political reasons, such that the agency cannot even cope with,Dogara said.
 
But constitutional lawyer and President of Voters Awareness Initiative (VAI), Wale Ogunade disagreed that census figures could serve the interest of election manipulators.
 
The era of imaginary voters are gone with the introduction of the card reader. So, the issue of population is not a factor in rigging election anymore because every voter will be accredited physically,Ogunade said.
 
He advised the federal government to make a supplementary budget for the NPC so that it could conduct the census next year because its figures would aid governments planning and effective governance.      
 
Analysts have said that the current population assumption of the country puts the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) at advantage.
 
Kano state is an APC stronghold and was ranked the most populous in Nigeria in the 2006 census.
 
President Muhammadu Buhari got 1.9 million votes in Kano, more than all the votes Lagos State recorded in the same election for all the candidates. Yet, Lagos has more registered voters than Kano.  
 
Kano voters are 4.9 million while Lagos has 5.8 million.
Director general of the NPC, Eze Duruiheoma refused to respond to a question our correspondent asked him through text whether the census would still take place in 2018 given that no provision was made for it in the budget. His reply was: Come to the office.  
 
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